Sport Picks
Horoya vs Al Merreikh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Africa
CAF Champions League 
Match Events
45'
45'
Barry Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Horoya have won more games recently than Al Merreikh.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Horoya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Horoya, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Horoya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Merreikh Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Horoya | Al Merreikh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 CAF Champions League
Al Merreikh vs Horoya
1:1
Oct 18, 2026 CAF Champions League
Horoya vs Al Merreikh
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Horoya Compare
Top Goalscorer Barry Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Al Merreikh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Horoya 41 / 100
Al Merreikh 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Horoya Al Merreikh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Horoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Horoya scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Horoya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Al Merreikh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.
Scoring Trends
Horoya VS Al Merreikh
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Horoya
(Home) 24 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Horoya
18 Oct
Horoya
1 : 0 Al Merreikh
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1 Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0 Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0 Horoya
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Horoya
1 : 0 Al Merreikh
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1 Saoura
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1 Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1 Hafia
21 Mar
Horoya
2 : 0 ASFAG
Page 1 of 3
Al Merreikh
(Away) 05 Nov
Sunrise
1 : 1 Al Merreikh
31 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Mukura Victory Sports
28 Oct
Police
0 : 1 Al Merreikh
24 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1 Horoya
18 Oct
Horoya
1 : 0 Al Merreikh
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Sunrise
1 : 1 Al Merreikh
28 Oct
Police
0 : 1 Al Merreikh
18 Oct
Horoya
1 : 0 Al Merreikh
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0 Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1 Al Merreikh
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 3
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 5
15 de Agosto 1
Simba 9
CFFA 1
Young Africans 8
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 2
APR 0
Zamalek 2
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 5
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 4
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 3
Maghreb Fez 3
ASEC Mimosas 2
Teungueth 0
Colombe 3
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 3
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 3
Horoya 2
Al Merreikh 1
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 2
