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Horoya vs Karfamoriah

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Horoya in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Horoya
15%
Draws
37%
Karfamoriah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Karfamoriah haven't matched Horoya's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Horoya Clean Sheet 20%
Karfamoriah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horoya Karfamoriah
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 20 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.76 0.92
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Karfamoriah vs Horoya
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Karfamoriah
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horoya 31 / 100
Karfamoriah 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horoya Karfamoriah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Horoya scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Karfamoriah conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Recent resilience: Horoya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horoya VS Karfamoriah
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Horoya

(Home)
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
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Karfamoriah

(Away)
22 Apr
Milo FC
2 : 1
Karfamoriah
17 Apr
Karfamoriah
2 : 3
Ashanti GB (SAG)
12 Apr
Sangaredi
1 : 2
Karfamoriah
08 Apr
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Karfamoriah
04 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 1
Karfamoriah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)