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Horoya vs Saoura

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Horoya Logo

Horoya

3 - 1
FT
Saoura Logo

Saoura

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Barry Y.
(Penalty)
72' Event
90' Event
Sylla L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Horoya
20%
Draws
29%
Saoura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Saoura haven't matched Horoya's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Horoya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Horoya, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Horoya Clean Sheet 18%
Saoura Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horoya Saoura
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Champions League
Horoya vs Saoura
3:1
Sep 4, 2026 CAF Champions League
Saoura vs Horoya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coulibaly S. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Saoura Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horoya 31 / 100
Saoura 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horoya Saoura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Horoya scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Horoya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Saoura let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Horoya VS Saoura
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Horoya

(Home)
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
Page 1 of 6

Saoura

(Away)
22 Sept
Biskra
0 : 0
Saoura
18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0
Saoura
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 4
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al-Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars -
Orlando Pirates -
TBD -
Simba -
CFFA -
Young Africans -
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR -
Zamalek -
EL Merriekh Bentiu -
Pyramids -
Sidama Bunna -
Al-Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al-Merreikh -
Mazembe -
Club Africain -