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Horoya vs Sequence

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2023/2024 game between Horoya and Sequence finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Horoya
20%
Draws
38%
Sequence
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Horoya come out ahead of Sequence on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Horoya taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Horoya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Horoya Clean Sheet 20%
Sequence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horoya Sequence
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2024 Ligue 1
Sequence vs Horoya
1:1
Mar 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Sequence
3:1
Jun 18, 2023 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Sequence
5:1
Jan 21, 2023 Ligue 1
Sequence vs Horoya
0:4
Jan 29, 2022 Ligue 1
Sequence vs Horoya
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horoya 36 / 100
Sequence 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horoya Sequence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Horoya scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Sequence conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Horoya remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Horoya VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Horoya

(Home)
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
Page 1 of 7

Sequence

(Away)
02 Jul
Wakriya AC
0 : 0
Sequence
28 Jun
Sequence
2 : 0
Loubha
22 Jun
Sequence
2 : 1
CI Kamsar
19 Jun
Flamme Olympique
1 : 0
Sequence
12 Jun
Sequence
1 : 1
Horoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milo FC 26 16 5 5 45:28 53
2 Hafia 26 14 6 6 49:31 48
3 Sangaredi 26 12 8 6 42:27 44
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 7 7 31:29 43
5 CI Kamsar 26 11 6 9 42:35 39
6 Horoya 26 10 7 9 25:20 37
7 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 8 9 9 26:27 33
8 Flamme Olympique 26 7 11 8 24:27 32
9 Wakriya AC 26 8 7 11 28:32 31
10 Loubha 26 9 3 14 26:34 30
11 Renaissance 26 7 9 10 19:27 30
12 SOAR 26 7 7 12 20:29 28
13 Sequence 26 7 6 13 26:35 27
14 Gangan 26 6 5 15 15:37 23
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)