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Horriya vs Al Jaish

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Brice K.
61' Event
Al Waked M.

AI Match Summary

Al Jaish in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Jaish.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Horriya
28%
Draws
22%
Al Jaish
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Horriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Horriya at 1.25 per game, Al Jaish at 1.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Horriya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Jaish have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Horriya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horriya Al Jaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Jaish
0:2
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Horriya
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Jaish
2:3
Nov 10, 2023 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Horriya
3:0
Apr 10, 2021 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Horriya
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horriya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Brice K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Waked M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horriya 59 / 100
Al Jaish 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horriya Al Jaish

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL- Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horriya scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Jaish's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Horriya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Horriya VS Al Jaish
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117