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Horriya vs Al Jaish Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Brice K.
61' Event
Al Waked M.

AI Match Summary

Al Jaish in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Jaish.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Horriya
20%
Draws
51%
Al Jaish
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Jaish

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Horriya at 1 per game, Al Jaish at 0.77.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Horriya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Jaish have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Horriya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horriya Al Jaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Jaish
0:2
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Horriya
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Jaish
2:3
Nov 10, 2023 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Horriya
3:0
Apr 10, 2021 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Horriya
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horriya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Brice K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Waked M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horriya 59 / 100
Al Jaish 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horriya Al Jaish

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horriya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horriya scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Jaish's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Horriya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Horriya VS Al Jaish
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Horriya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
14 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
Page 1 of 6

Al Jaish

(Away)
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
13 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 0
Al Jaish
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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