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Horriya vs Al Karamah

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Al Arjan A.
47' Event
Mustafa M.
74' Event
Nanoua O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Horriya and Al Karamah finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horriya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Horriya
20%
Draws
61%
Al Karamah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Karamah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Al Karamah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Karamah are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Horriya Clean Sheet 11%
Al Karamah Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horriya Al Karamah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Karamah
2:1
Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Horriya
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Horriya
0:0
Dec 29, 2023 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Karamah
2:0
Mar 17, 2021 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Karamah
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustafa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nanoua O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Karamah Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Arjan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horriya 10 / 100
Al Karamah 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horriya Al Karamah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karamah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horriya scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al Karamah conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Horriya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horriya VS Al Karamah
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Horriya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
14 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
Page 1 of 6

Al Karamah

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
28 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 0
Al-Shouleh
24 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
1 : 1
Al Karamah
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
12 Jun
Foutoua
2 : 4
Al Karamah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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