Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horseed vs Gaadiidka

Somalia Somalia

National league
Horseed Logo

Horseed

1 - 1
FT
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Horseed and Gaadiidka finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Horseed
30%
Draws
43%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Horseed haven't matched Gaadiidka's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Gaadiidka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horseed Gaadiidka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2 2.2
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Horseed
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
3:0
Dec 9, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Horseed
0:2
Jul 26, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 22 / 100
Gaadiidka 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horseed Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Horseed has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Gaadiidka conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Gaadiidka
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horseed

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

Gaadiidka

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)