Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horseed vs Gaadiidka

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Horseed and Gaadiidka finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Horseed
17%
Draws
70%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Horseed haven't matched Gaadiidka's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Gaadiidka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horseed Gaadiidka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Horseed
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
3:0
Dec 9, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Horseed
0:2
Jul 26, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Gaadiidka
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 14 / 100
Gaadiidka 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horseed Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Horseed has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Gaadiidka conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Gaadiidka
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horseed

(Home)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
03 Jul
Horseed
1 : 1
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

Gaadiidka

(Away)
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
07 Jul
Heegan
1 : 2
Gaadiidka
29 Jun
Raadsan
0 : 6
Gaadiidka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)