Sport Picks

Somalia

National league

Horseed

1 - 0

Mogadishu City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Horseed in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horseed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Horseed

40%

Draws

29%

Mogadishu City

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Horseed haven't matched Mogadishu City's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Horseed Clean Sheet 16%

Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Horseed	Mogadishu City
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	14	18
Draws	9	10
Losses	5	3
Goals Scored	1.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 National league

Mogadishu City vs Horseed

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

May 13, 2026 National league

Horseed vs Mogadishu City

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

May 2, 2025 National league

Horseed vs Mogadishu City

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Jan 18, 2025 National league

Mogadishu City vs Horseed

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jul 21, 2024 National league

Mogadishu City vs Horseed

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 31 / 100

Mogadishu City 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Horseed Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Mogadishu City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Horseed has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Mogadishu City

1.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Heegan	20	13	5	2	49:16	44
2	Gaadiidka	18	12	5	1	48:14	41
3	Dekedda	20	11	7	2	46:21	40
4	Mogadishu City	19	11	6	2	36:12	39
5	Elman	20	11	3	6	33:15	36
6	Horseed	20	9	8	3	38:19	35
7	Badbaado	19	6	2	11	37:33	20
8	Jazeera	18	5	5	8	37:35	20
9	Jeenyo	20	4	8	8	30:30	20
10	Raadsan	19	4	2	13	30:50	14
11	Jubba	20	2	0	18	15:88	6
12	Gantaalaha Afgooye	17	1	1	15	16:82	4