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Horseed vs Raadsan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Horseed Logo

Horseed

3 - 1
FT
Raadsan Logo

Raadsan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Horseed in this National league matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horseed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Horseed
30%
Draws
23%
Raadsan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horseed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Horseed have won more games recently than Raadsan.
  • Model gives Horseed a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Horseed here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Horseed Clean Sheet 11%
Raadsan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horseed Raadsan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Raadsan
3:1
Feb 11, 2026 National league
Raadsan vs Horseed
1:2
Apr 11, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Raadsan
1:0
Dec 24, 2024 National league
Raadsan vs Horseed
0:8
Jun 30, 2024 National league
Raadsan vs Horseed
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 83 / 100
Raadsan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horseed Raadsan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horseed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Raadsan let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Horseed remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Raadsan
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Horseed

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
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Raadsan

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Raadsan
0 : 4
Heegan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)