Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horsens vs Esbjerg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Hybel Arena Horsens, Horsens
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Brajanac M.
Assist: From L.
9' Event
Kirkegaard K.
11' Event
Kirkegaard K.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Horsens and Esbjerg finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horsens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Horsens
30%
Draws
34%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horsens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Horsens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Horsens a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Horsens here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Horsens Clean Sheet 16%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsens Esbjerg
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Horsens
0:1
Apr 21, 2026 1st Division
Horsens vs Esbjerg
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Horsens
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 1st Division
Horsens vs Esbjerg
1:0
May 3, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Horsens
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsens Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirkegaard K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Justinussen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Brajanac M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsens 36 / 100
Esbjerg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsens Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esbjerg conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Horsens scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Horsens stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horsens VS Esbjerg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Horsens

(Home)
26 Jul
Horsens
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland
18 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 0
Horsens
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0
Horsens
11 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3 : 2
Horsens
04 Jul
Horsens
2 : 0
Hobro
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Esbjerg

(Away)
25 Jul
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
04 Jul
Esbjerg
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
27 Jun
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Vejle
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyngby32186869:3660
2Horsens32159842:2754
3Esbjerg321571045:4352
4Hillerod321311842:4350
5Hvidovre IF321113843:3946
6Kolding IF321081437:4038
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