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Horsham FC vs Dagenham & Red. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Meekums R.
31' Event
Sparks H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Horsham FC
30%
Draws
47%
Dagenham & Red.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dagenham & Red.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagenham & Red. have won more games recently than Horsham FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 19%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsham FC Dagenham & Red.
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Horsham FC vs Dagenham & Red.
1:1
Feb 10, 2026 National League South
Horsham FC vs Dagenham & Red.
1:1
Oct 21, 2025 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Horsham FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Meekums R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dagenham & Red. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsham FC 32 / 100
Dagenham & Red. 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsham FC Dagenham & Red.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagenham & Red. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsham FC's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Dagenham & Red. conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Horsham FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Horsham FC VS Dagenham & Red.
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Horsham FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Maidstone
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Horsham FC
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
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Dagenham & Red.

(Away)
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
03 Oct
Brentwood
3 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
26 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
22 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
3 : 0
Waltham Abbey
19 Sept
Waltham Abbey
1 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)