Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horsham FC vs Dorking Wanderers

England England

National League South The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Horsham FC play Dorking Wanderers in the National League South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Horsham FC averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Dorking Wanderers averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Horsham FC won 3, Dorking Wanderers won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Horsham FC and 1.38 for Dorking Wanderers. This points to a Dorking Wanderers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Horsham FC
30%
Draws
34%
Dorking Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Dorking Wanderers has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Horsham FC.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Horsham FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League South provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 17%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsham FC Dorking Wanderers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League South
Horsham FC vs Dorking Wanderers
3:0
Dec 26, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Horsham FC
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 FA Cup
Horsham FC vs Dorking Wanderers
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup
Horsham FC vs Dorking Wanderers
2:0
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Dorking Wanderers vs Horsham FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gravata L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hester-Cook C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsham FC 36 / 100
Dorking Wanderers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsham FC Dorking Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsham FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Dorking Wanderers let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Horsham FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dorking Wanderers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horsham FC VS Dorking Wanderers
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036