Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division Hørsholm Idrætspark, Rungsted Kyst
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sonne M.
56' Event
Khalid A.
(Penalty)
81'
Menck M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Horsholm-Usserod
35%
Draws
37%
Vanlose
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Vanlose have won more games recently than Horsholm-Usserod.
  • Win probability leans Vanlose's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 20%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsholm-Usserod Vanlose
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Horsholm-Usserod
0:2
May 2, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Horsholm-Usserod
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsholm-Usserod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vanlose Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonne M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsholm-Usserod 28 / 100
Vanlose 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsholm-Usserod Vanlose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanlose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsholm-Usserod scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Vanlose's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Horsholm-Usserod has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Horsholm-Usserod VS Vanlose
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Horsholm-Usserod

(Home)
10 Oct
Ringsted
2 : 4
Horsholm-Usserod
03 Oct
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Helsingor
26 Sept
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1
Horsholm-Usserod
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
Page 1 of 6

Vanlose

(Away)
10 Oct
Vanlose
0 : 0
Holbaek
03 Oct
Sundby
0 : 1
Vanlose
26 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 1
Bronshoj
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
13 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 11 7 2 2 26:18 23
2 Bronshoj 11 6 4 1 22:12 22
3 Vanlose 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
4 Helsingor 11 6 2 3 20:15 20
5 Naesby 11 5 2 4 20:16 17
6 ASA Aarhus 11 5 1 5 15:16 16
7 Horsholm-Usserod 11 4 3 4 24:21 15
8 Holstebro 11 4 1 6 18:26 13
9 BK Frem 11 3 3 5 19:19 12
10 Ishoj IF 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
11 Sundby 11 3 1 7 16:19 10
12 Ringsted 11 1 2 8 15:31 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)