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Hostert vs Esch

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2017/2018
Hostert Logo

Hostert

Wed, Apr 18, 2018
2 - 1
05:30 PM
Esch Logo

Esch

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Hostert advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hostert
20%
Draws
34%
Esch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hostert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hostert come out ahead of Esch on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Hostert taking it.
  • Hostert have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hostert, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Hostert have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Hostert Clean Sheet 68%
Esch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hostert Esch
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.54 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 BGL Ligue
Esch vs Hostert
1:2
Apr 18, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Hostert vs Esch
2:1
Nov 5, 2017 BGL Ligue
Hostert vs Esch
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hostert 95 / 100
Esch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hostert Esch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hostert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Hostert scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Hostert went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hostert VS Esch
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 8
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Hostert

(Home)
20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2
Hostert
16 Sept
Hostert
1 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
12 Sept
Hostert
0 : 0
Dudelange
05 Sept
Victoria Rosport
0 : 2
Hostert
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 7

Esch

(Away)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7
Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9
Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2
Esch
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Wiltz 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
US Moutfort/Medingen 0
Ettelbruck 10
Victoria Rosport 1
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
US Reisdorf 0
Rumelange 8
Kaerjeng 4
Echternach 1
Lorentzweiler 0
US Sandweiler 4
FC Mamer 2
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Esch 4
Cebra 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 5
FC Kopstal 33 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Luxembourg City 2
Steinfort 0
FC Ehlerange 1
Koeppchen 2
Jeunesse Useldange 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 3
Mertzig 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 8
CS Sanem 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
UNA Strassen 6
Oberkorn 1
Racing Troisvierges 1
Jeunesse Esch 16
Progres Niedercorn 3
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Dudelange 13
Fola 5
AS Wincrange 1
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Union Titus Petange 7
Grevenmacher 4
Bettembourg 2
Alliance Aischdall 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Hesperange 6
Diekirch 1
Union Remich/Bous 1
Mondorf 2
Erpeldange 5
US Feulen 1
FC Orania Vianden 2
Union Tetange 4
FF Norden 2
AS Colmar-Berg 1
Lintgen 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Wiltz 3
Ettelbruck 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Rumelange 3
Kaerjeng 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Luxembourg City 2
Koeppchen 0
Jeunesse Useldange 0
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
UNA Strassen 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Dudelange 3
Fola 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Grevenmacher 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Hesperange 0
Mondorf 1
Erpeldange 2
Union Tetange 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 9
1/8-finals
Wiltz 2
Rumelange 0
Kaerjeng 1
FC Rodange 91 5
Esch 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Luxembourg City 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 1
Mondorf 0
Erpeldange 0
Differdange 2
Quarter-finals
Wiltz 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 2
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Semi-finals
Wiltz 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Final
Hostert 0
Racing Luxembourg 1