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Hostoun vs Velvary Prediction & H2H Stats

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B Stadion Vojtecha Zeithamla, Hostoun - KD
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group B game between Hostoun and Velvary finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hostoun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Hostoun
15%
Draws
32%
Velvary
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hostoun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Velvary's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Hostoun have produced (1.5).
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Hostoun taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hostoun Clean Sheet 16%
Velvary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hostoun Velvary
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Hostoun vs Velvary
5:1
May 10, 2025 3. CFL - Group A
Velvary vs Hostoun
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 3. CFL - Group A
Hostoun vs Velvary
2:1
Feb 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Hostoun vs Velvary
1:2
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Velvary vs Hostoun
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hostoun 84 / 100
Velvary 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hostoun Velvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hostoun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velvary has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Hostoun remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Hostoun scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hostoun VS Velvary
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hostoun

(Home)
20 Sept
Hostoun
5 : 1
Velvary
12 Sept
Ujezd Prague
0 : 2
Hostoun
06 Sept
Hostoun
4 : 2
Brandys nad Labem
29 Aug
Usti nad Labem B
0 : 4
Hostoun
22 Aug
Tempo Prague
1 : 2
Hostoun
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Velvary

(Away)
20 Sept
Hostoun
5 : 1
Velvary
12 Sept
Velvary
2 : 1
Tempo Prague
06 Sept
Ostrov
3 : 1
Velvary
29 Aug
Velvary
2 : 1
Karlovy Vary
21 Aug
Hvezda Cheb
3 : 4
Velvary
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