Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hottur vs Einherji

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Aegisson E.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Magnusson S.
76'
Gretarsson G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Hottur advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Hottur
15%
Draws
20%
Einherji
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hottur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hottur come out ahead of Einherji on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hottur a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Hottur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hottur, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hottur Clean Sheet 10%
Einherji Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hottur Einherji
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 0
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Hottur vs Einherji
2:0
May 14, 2013 Icelandic Cup
Hottur vs Einherji
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hottur Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.17

Einherji Compare

Avg xG / game 2.01
Avg xA / game 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hottur 83 / 100
Einherji 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hottur Einherji

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hottur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Einherji let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Hottur found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Hottur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hottur VS Einherji
1.38 Goals Scored 1.29
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.29
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 71%
88% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Hottur

(Home)
05 Jan
Hottur
2 : 0
Tindastoll
22 Sept
Hottur
1 : 3
Afturelding
15 Sept
Volsungur
2 : 3
Hottur
08 Sept
Hottur
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
02 Sept
Kari
2 : 2
Hottur
Page 1 of 7

Einherji

(Away)
21 Mar
Einherji
2 : 5
Neisti
29 Mar
Einherji
0 : 2
Sindri
21 Apr
Hottur / Huginn
3 : 2
Einherji
08 Apr
Boltafelag Nordfjardar
0 : 2
Einherji
24 Apr
Hottur / Huginn
7 : 1
Einherji
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Hviti 6
Gnupverjar 2
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Reynir 1
Alftanes 0
Vatnaliljur 1
Hamar 2
KH Hlidarendi 8
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Vestri -
Vidir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Berserkir 15
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 3
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Kari 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar -
TBD -
Kongarnir 0
KFR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik -
TBD -
Ymir 0
Orninn 4
Tindastoll 2
Dalvik/Reynir 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Stokkseyri 1
Skallagrimur 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 4
Isbjorninn 1
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kria 2
KV Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Hottur 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 2
Arborg 0
Midas 0
Vaengirs 1
Throttur Vogar 2
Stal-Ulfur 1
TBD -
Grotta -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Kjalnesinga 0
Lettir 3
KFS 2
GG Grindavik 1
Aegir 0
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 0
Magni 15
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
Fram 1
Afturelding 0
Hviti 0
Kopavogur 1
Reynir 4
Hamar 1
KH Hlidarendi 0
Vestri 4
Vidir 4
Berserkir 1
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar 4
KFR 0
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik 1
Orninn 0
Tindastoll 1
KA Akureyri 2
Keflavik 2
Skallagrimur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 5
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn 1
Hottur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 1
Volsungur 2
Augnablik 3
Vaengirs 2
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 8
Lettir 0
KFS 1
KFG Gardabaer 9
Fjallabyggd 3
Magni 2
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
Fram 2
Kopavogur 0
Reynir 1
Vestri 2
Vidir 2
Sindri 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur 1
Fjolnir 0
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Keflavik 1
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 3
Kria 0
KV Reykjavik 0
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 3
Olafsvik 2
Huginn 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 1
Grotta 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Hafnarfjordur 9
1/8-finals
Fram 3
Vestri 2
Vidir 3
Selfoss 4
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 0
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 2
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 4
Grotta 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 4
Quarter-finals
Fram 0
Selfoss 2
Valur 5
Fylkir 0
Breidablik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Throttur 0
Hafnarfjordur 3
Semi-finals
Selfoss 1
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Final
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0