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Hound Dogs vs Europa Point

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hound Dogs play Europa Point in the National League. Europa Point are favorites here. Recently, Hound Dogs averaged 0.43 goals scored and 4.2 conceded. Europa Point averaged 1.48 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Hound Dogs won 1, Europa Point won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2025 ended 0:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Hound Dogs and 1.56 for Europa Point. This points to a Europa Point double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hound Dogs
15%
Draws
62%
Europa Point
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Europa Point

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Hound Dogs picked up more points recently compared to Europa Point.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hound Dogs Clean Sheet 15%
Europa Point Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hound Dogs Europa Point
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 0.43 1.48
Goals Conceded 4.2 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 National League
Hound Dogs vs Europa Point
0:7
Aug 24, 2025 National League
Europa Point vs Hound Dogs
0:3
Feb 14, 2020 Gibraltar Cup
Hound Dogs vs Europa Point
0:10

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hound Dogs 24 / 100
Europa Point 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hound Dogs Europa Point

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Europa Point Win (2)
Secondary Pick Europa Point & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hound Dogs attacking → ← attacking Europa Point

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hound Dogs scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Europa Point let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.67 goals.

Hound Dogs went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Europa Point lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 26
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lincoln Red Imps22192179:1459
2St Josephs22191290:1058
3Mons Calpe22151655:2446
4Europa FC22151644:1646
5Lions Gibraltar22122847:3438
6Lynx22104834:3334
7Magpies22821222:3726
8Europa Point22711431:6122
9College 197522351415:4514
10Glacis United22331618:5712
11Hound Dogs22151610:668
12Manchester 6222611529:777