Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Houston Dash W host Bay FC W in the NWSL Women. This one's hard to separate. Bay FC W have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Houston Dash W have conceded 2.13 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Houston Dash W have won 1 to Bay FC W's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.50, favoring Houston Dash W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Houston Dash W
39%
Draws
30%
Bay FC W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Houston Dash W have won more games recently than Bay FC W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 16%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dash W Bay FC W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W
2:2
May 25, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W
2:2
Nov 3, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W
2:3
Mar 31, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dash W 31 / 100
Bay FC W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dash W Bay FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bay FC W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Houston Dash W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Houston Dash W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dash W VS Bay FC W
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dash W

(Home)
19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
12 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Houston Dash W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1
Houston Dash W
31 May
Gotham FC W
1 : 0
Houston Dash W
24 May
Houston Dash W
2 : 1
Angel City W
Page 1 of 7

Bay FC W

(Away)
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0
North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Bay FC W
24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1
Chicago Stars W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
2Gotham FC W1593319:1030
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Houston Dash W1544718:2416
14Boston Legacy W1644817:2316
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)