Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W

USA USA

NWSL Women Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Patterson A.
58'
Colaprico D.
67'
Sub
Chapman A. In: Bain N. M.
Out: Chapman A.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Houston Dash W and Utah Royals W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utah Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Houston Dash W
15%
Draws
59%
Utah Royals W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utah Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Utah Royals W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Houston Dash W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Utah Royals W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 15%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dash W Utah Royals W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W
0:1
May 7, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Houston Dash W
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Houston Dash W
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dash W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanaka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dash W 41 / 100
Utah Royals W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dash W Utah Royals W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dash W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Utah Royals W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Houston Dash W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dash W VS Utah Royals W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dash W

(Home)
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
30 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0
Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6

Utah Royals W

(Away)
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3
Angel City W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2
Boston Legacy W
29 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 26 16 6 4 34:20 54
2 San Diego Wave W 26 15 3 8 38:27 48
3 Washington Spirit W 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Utah Royals W 26 14 3 9 43:34 45
5 Portland Thorns FC W 26 12 7 7 43:35 43
6 Angel City W 26 12 6 8 44:28 42
7 Kansas City Current W 26 12 5 9 43:37 41
8 Seattle Reign W 26 12 4 10 33:31 40
9 North Carolina Courage W 26 12 3 11 49:39 39
10 Denver Summit W 26 9 8 9 42:37 35
11 Orlando Pride W 26 10 3 13 35:41 33
12 Houston Dash W 26 8 6 12 32:36 30
13 Bay FC W 26 7 5 14 27:37 26
14 Boston Legacy W 26 7 5 14 32:44 26
15 Racing Louisville W 26 7 2 17 35:51 23
16 Chicago Stars W 26 5 2 19 15:60 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)