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MLS Next Pro SaberCats Stadium

Minnesota United 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Houston Dynamo 2 play Minnesota United 2 in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Houston Dynamo 2 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Minnesota United 2 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Houston Dynamo 2 won 2, Minnesota United 2 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Houston Dynamo 2 and 1.38 for Minnesota United 2. This points to a Houston Dynamo 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Houston Dynamo 2

15%

Draws

41%

Minnesota United 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Houston Dynamo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Houston Dynamo 2 picked up more points recently compared to Minnesota United 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Houston Dynamo 2	Minnesota United 2
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	17	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	2.03	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Houston Dynamo 2 vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

4:0

May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Aug 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 0 - 0

3:2

Jun 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

4:1

Mar 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Houston Dynamo 2 vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan

1 Goals

Assists Leader Miller R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 2 43 / 100

Minnesota United 2 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Houston Dynamo 2 Minnesota United 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Houston Dynamo 2 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Houston Dynamo 2 attacking → ← attacking Minnesota United 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo 2 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Minnesota United 2 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Houston Dynamo 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Minnesota United 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 54

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	17	10	7	30:24	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	14	8	6	31:17	25
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	17	5	12	21:36	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	17	4	13	22:44	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	17	10	7	30:24	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
7	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	14	8	6	31:17	25
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	17	5	12	21:36	14
13	Sporting Kansas City II	17	4	13	22:44	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9