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Houston Dynamo 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro SaberCats Stadium, Houston, TX
Houston Dynamo 2 Logo

Houston Dynamo 2

Wed, Aug 19, 2026
1 - 2
11:00 PM
San Jose Earthquakes II Logo

San Jose Earthquakes II

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Silva V.
Assist: Arthur Sousa
45'
Bell J.
46'
Sub
Boyce W. In: de Flores S.
Out: Boyce W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Houston Dynamo 2 and San Jose Earthquakes II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Houston Dynamo 2
15%
Draws
64%
San Jose Earthquakes II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Houston Dynamo 2 come out ahead of San Jose Earthquakes II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans San Jose Earthquakes II's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Jose Earthquakes II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 15%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Houston Dynamo 2
2:1
May 4, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:2
Aug 20, 2023 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Houston Dynamo 2
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Heisner J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 2 15 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo 2 San Jose Earthquakes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo 2's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

San Jose Earthquakes II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Houston Dynamo 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo 2 VS San Jose Earthquakes II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Away)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)