Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Houston Dynamo 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 SaberCats Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Kikanovic B.
31'
Eisner W.
56' Event
Fernandez N.
Assist: Adimabua N.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2025 game between Houston Dynamo 2 and San Jose Earthquakes II finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Houston Dynamo 2
20%
Draws
38%
San Jose Earthquakes II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Houston Dynamo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Houston Dynamo 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • San Jose Earthquakes II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 11%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Houston Dynamo 2
2:1
May 4, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:2
Aug 20, 2023 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Houston Dynamo 2
4:3
Jun 25, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 2 40 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo 2 San Jose Earthquakes II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo 2's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

San Jose Earthquakes II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Houston Dynamo 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo 2 VS San Jose Earthquakes II
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717