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Houston Dynamo 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro SaberCats Stadium, Houston, TX
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Match Events

10' Event
Loyo Reynaga Z.
Assist: Rodriguez M.
24'
Ukaegbu C.
27'
Ikoba T.

AI Match Summary

Sporting Kansas City II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Kansas City II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Houston Dynamo 2
15%
Draws
42%
Sporting Kansas City II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Houston Dynamo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Houston Dynamo 2 lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Kansas City II.
  • Win probability leans Houston Dynamo 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo 2 Sporting Kansas City II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 2 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
2:3
Aug 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Houston Dynamo 2
3:2
Apr 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:3
Jun 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brummett A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Loyo Reynaga Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 2 84 / 100
Sporting Kansas City II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo 2 Sporting Kansas City II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Houston Dynamo 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo 2's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sporting Kansas City II conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sporting Kansas City II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo 2 VS Sporting Kansas City II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Kansas City II

(Away)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 5
Los Angeles FC 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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