Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup Shell Energy Stadium

Match Events

Lingr O.

Assist: Markanich N.

25'

Twumasi K.

30'

Resch A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Houston Dynamo play El Paso Locomotive in the US Open Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Houston Dynamo averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. El Paso Locomotive averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Houston Dynamo won 1, El Paso Locomotive won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Houston Dynamo and 1.13 for El Paso Locomotive. This points to a Houston Dynamo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Houston Dynamo

33%

Draws

27%

El Paso Locomotive

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Houston Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Houston Dynamo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to El Paso Locomotive.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Houston Dynamo.
Cup tournament structure in US Open Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%

El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Houston Dynamo	El Paso Locomotive
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	17	12
Draws	3	6
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.5	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 US Open Cup

Houston Dynamo vs El Paso Locomotive

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Feb 8, 2022 Club Friendly

Houston Dynamo vs El Paso Locomotive

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lingr O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bogusz M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 40 / 100

El Paso Locomotive 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Houston Dynamo El Paso Locomotive

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

El Paso Locomotive let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Houston Dynamo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

El Paso Locomotive lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS El Paso Locomotive

1.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

FC Naples3

Red Force0

South Georgia Tormenta-

America CFL Spurs-

TBD-

Orlando City-

New England Revolution-

TBD-

Rhode Island4

Faialense0

Motown0

Hartford Athletic2

Chattanooga2

Kalonji1

Tennessee Tempo1

Chattanooga Red Wolves0

TBD-

Atlanta United-

Charlotte FC-

TBD-

Charlotte Independence4

Ristozi FC1

Charleston2

Florida Badgers1

Richmond Kickers2

Northern Virginia0

West Chester United1

Loudoun United2

TBD-

Columbus Crew-

DC United-

TBD-

Asheville City3

Greenville Triumph1

Vistula1

One Knoxville3

Vermont Green1

Portland Hearts of Pine0

Westchester SC2

NY Renegades0

TBD-

New York City-

New York Red Bulls-

TBD-

Steel City1

Pittsburgh Riverhounds2

Carolina Core1

Virginia Dream2

Flint City2

Forward Madison0

Detroit City5

Michigan Rangers1

TBD-

Chicago Fire-

St. Louis City-

TBD-

San Antonio FC6

New Stars0

Little Rock Rangers2

FC Tulsa4

Lexington9

Flower City Union0

Louisville City2

Southern Indiana0

TBD-

Austin FC-

Houston Dynamo-

TBD-

New Mexico3

Cruizers FC2

Laredo Heat0

El Paso Locomotive2

Colorado Springs3

Azteca0

Ventura1

Spokane Velocity2

TBD-

Sporting Kansas City-

Colorado Rapids-

TBD-

Indy Eleven3

Menace0

BOHFS St. Louis0

Union Omaha8

AV Alta FC0

Valley 559 FC1

Sacramento Republic2

El Farolito0

TBD-

Minnesota United-

San Jose Earthquakes-

TBD-

Orange County SC3

Laguna United0

Phoenix Rising4

San Ramon0

1/32-finals

FC Naples3

America CFL Spurs0

TBD-

Orlando City-

New England Revolution-

TBD-

Rhode Island2

Hartford Athletic0

Chattanooga1

Tennessee Tempo0

TBD-

Atlanta United-

Charlotte FC-

TBD-

Charlotte Independence3

Charleston2

Richmond Kickers1

Loudoun United0

TBD-

Columbus Crew-

DC United-

TBD-

Asheville City1

One Knoxville2

Vermont Green0

Westchester SC1

TBD-

New York City-

New York Red Bulls-

TBD-

Pittsburgh Riverhounds2

Virginia Dream0

Flint City0

Detroit City1

TBD-

Chicago Fire-

St. Louis City-

TBD-

San Antonio FC0

FC Tulsa1

Lexington0

Louisville City2

TBD-

Austin FC-

Houston Dynamo-

TBD-

New Mexico0

El Paso Locomotive4

Colorado Springs2

Spokane Velocity1

TBD-

Sporting Kansas City-

Colorado Rapids-

TBD-

Indy Eleven1

Union Omaha2

Valley 559 FC0

Sacramento Republic4

TBD-

Minnesota United-

San Jose Earthquakes-

TBD-

Orange County SC1

Phoenix Rising2

1/16-finals

FC Naples0

Orlando City1

New England Revolution2

Rhode Island1

Chattanooga1

Atlanta United3

Charlotte FC6

Charlotte Independence0

Richmond Kickers0

Columbus Crew3

DC United3

One Knoxville4

Westchester SC2

New York City5

New York Red Bulls3

Pittsburgh Riverhounds1

Detroit City1

Chicago Fire2

St. Louis City4

FC Tulsa0

Louisville City2

Austin FC1

Houston Dynamo4

El Paso Locomotive1

Colorado Springs3

Sporting Kansas City0

Colorado Rapids1

Union Omaha0

Sacramento Republic0

Minnesota United1

San Jose Earthquakes2

Phoenix Rising0

1/8-finals

Orlando City4

New England Revolution3

Atlanta United2

Charlotte FC0

Columbus Crew4

One Knoxville1

New York City3

New York Red Bulls1

Chicago Fire1

St. Louis City2

Louisville City1

Houston Dynamo2

Colorado Springs2

Colorado Rapids3

Minnesota United2

San Jose Earthquakes4

Quarter-finals

Orlando City4

Atlanta United1

Columbus Crew1

New York City0

St. Louis City3

Houston Dynamo2

Colorado Rapids2

San Jose Earthquakes0

Semi-finals

Orlando City-

Columbus Crew-

St. Louis City-

Colorado Rapids-

Final

TBD-