Sport Picks
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX 
Match Events
38'
38'
Guilherme
50'
50'
Bogusz M.
(Penalty)
55'
55'
Sub
Echenique E. In: Ramirez Leon B. J.
Out: Echenique E.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Houston Dynamo and FC Cincinnati finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Houston Dynamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Cincinnati haven't matched Houston Dynamo's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Houston Dynamo taking it.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Houston Dynamo | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 2.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati
2:2
Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo
2:1
Jul 4, 2021 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Houston Dynamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Guilherme
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
FC Cincinnati Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez Leon B. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Houston Dynamo 85 / 100
FC Cincinnati 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Houston Dynamo FC Cincinnati
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Houston Dynamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cincinnati has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Houston Dynamo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Houston Dynamo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Houston Dynamo VS FC Cincinnati
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Houston Dynamo
(Home) 27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0 Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
16 Aug
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 3
FC Cincinnati
(Away) 26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
15 Aug
Orlando City
1 : 1 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 59:26 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34:54 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
