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Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Denkey K.
89' Event
Samassekou D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Houston Dynamo and FC Cincinnati finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Houston Dynamo
30%
Draws
34%
FC Cincinnati
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Houston Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Houston Dynamo come out ahead of FC Cincinnati on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Houston Dynamo taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo FC Cincinnati
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo
2:1
Jul 4, 2021 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati
1:1
Jul 6, 2019 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Samassekou D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Denkey K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 34 / 100
FC Cincinnati 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo FC Cincinnati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

FC Cincinnati has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Houston Dynamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS FC Cincinnati
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%