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Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Houston Dynamo host FC Dallas in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FC Dallas have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Houston Dynamo have conceded 1.19 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, Houston Dynamo have won 2 to FC Dallas's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back Houston Dynamo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Houston Dynamo
30%
Draws
47%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 17%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo FC Dallas
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo
4:3
Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo
1:2
May 18, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas
1:2
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 31 / 100
FC Dallas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Dallas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Houston Dynamo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

FC Dallas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Houston Dynamo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS FC Dallas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo

(Home)
11 Oct
Minnesota United
2 : 2
Houston Dynamo
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
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FC Dallas

(Away)
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2
FC Dallas
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 54:38 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 39:50 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)