Sport Picks
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers
USA
MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX 
Match Events
24'
24'
Miller K.
45'
45'
Ponce E.
45'
45'
Velde K.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Houston Dynamo and Portland Timbers finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dynamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Houston Dynamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Houston Dynamo come out ahead of Portland Timbers on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Houston Dynamo's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 13%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Houston Dynamo | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
3:1
Jun 2, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Houston Dynamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Guilherme
1 Goals Assists Leader Felipe Andrade
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Portland Timbers Compare
Top Goalscorer Guerra G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Velde K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Houston Dynamo 75 / 100
Portland Timbers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Houston Dynamo Portland Timbers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Houston Dynamo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Portland Timbers let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Houston Dynamo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Houston Dynamo VS Portland Timbers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Houston Dynamo
(Home) 26 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0 Austin FC
23 Jul
Houston Dynamo
1 : 1 DC United
16 Jul
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 America De Cali
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0 Olimpia
24 May
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0 Austin FC
23 Jul
Houston Dynamo
1 : 1 DC United
16 Jul
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 America De Cali
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0 Olimpia
17 May
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0 Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 4
Portland Timbers
(Away) 26 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 FC Dallas
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5 Portland Timbers
24 May
Portland Timbers
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
17 May
Inter Miami
2 : 0 Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5 Portland Timbers
17 May
Inter Miami
2 : 0 Portland Timbers
13 May
CF Montreal
2 : 2 Portland Timbers
02 May
Real Salt Lake
2 : 0 Portland Timbers
26 Apr
San Diego FC
1 : 2 Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 37:16 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 30 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:24 | 26 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:24 | 23 |
| 8 | St. Louis City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | 22 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:28 | 20 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:24 | 19 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29:31 | 18 |
| 13 | San Diego FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 30:28 | 17 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:32 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18:40 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 33:11 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 42:30 | 34 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 40:40 | 23 |
| 7 | New York City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:26 | 19 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 27:44 | 17 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22:29 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:32 | 15 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21:31 | 10 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
