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Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps

USA USA

MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Houston Dynamo Logo

Houston Dynamo

1 - 0
FT
Vancouver Whitecaps Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Cabrera Nakamura K. G.
34'
Sub
Samassekou D. In: Bouzat A.
Out: Samassekou D.
40'
Sub
Larraz O. In: Cubas A.
Out: Larraz O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dynamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Houston Dynamo
30%
Draws
9%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Houston Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Houston Dynamo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo
1:1
Jul 17, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:3
Sep 19, 2024 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 85 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Houston Dynamo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Vancouver Whitecaps conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS Vancouver Whitecaps
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo

(Home)
08 Aug
New England Revolution
0 : 2
Houston Dynamo
02 Aug
Sporting Kansas City
0 : 2
Houston Dynamo
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0
Austin FC
23 Jul
Houston Dynamo
1 : 1
DC United
16 Jul
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
America De Cali
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
08 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
Juarez
05 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
0 : 1
Atlante
01 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 1
Los Angeles FC
26 Jul
Minnesota United
0 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
22 Jul
FC Cincinnati
4 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 38:17 34
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 35:19 34
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 37:24 33
4 Houston Dynamo 18 10 2 6 27:24 32
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 29:25 27
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 32:25 27
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 24:24 26
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 33:33 24
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 20:22 24
10 Minnesota United 18 6 6 6 20:25 24
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 27:25 22
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 24:29 22
13 San Diego FC 18 5 6 7 32:29 21
14 Austin FC 18 4 5 9 22:36 17
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 18:46 14
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 35:14 40
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 45:32 38
3 New England Revolution 18 9 3 6 28:23 30
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 32:23 29
5 New York City 18 7 5 6 31:24 26
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 45:44 26
7 Charlotte FC 18 7 4 7 29:27 25
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 29:39 25
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 26:29 23
10 Orlando City 18 6 2 10 30:47 20
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 26:28 20
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 24:32 17
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 25:33 16
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 24:35 16
15 Atlanta United 18 3 3 12 19:33 12
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)