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Houston Sur vs Hill Country Lobos

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Houston Sur and Hill Country Lobos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Houston Sur
6%
Draws
90%
Hill Country Lobos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hill Country Lobos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hill Country Lobos come out ahead of Houston Sur on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Hill Country Lobos taking it.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Houston Sur Clean Sheet 10%
Hill Country Lobos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Sur Hill Country Lobos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 USL League Two
Hill Country Lobos vs Houston Sur
4:0
Jun 29, 2025 USL League Two
Houston Sur vs Hill Country Lobos
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 USL League Two
Hill Country Lobos vs Houston Sur
5:1
Jul 7, 2024 USL League Two
Hill Country Lobos vs Houston Sur
2:2
Jul 1, 2024 USL League Two
Houston Sur vs Hill Country Lobos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Sur 10 / 100
Hill Country Lobos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Sur Hill Country Lobos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hill Country Lobos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Hill Country Lobos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Houston Sur found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Houston Sur VS Hill Country Lobos
1 Goals Scored 1.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Sur

(Home)
12 Jul
Houston Sur
1 : 4
San Antonio FC 2
09 Jul
Houston FC
3 : 0
Houston Sur
05 Jul
GFI Woodlands
4 : 0
Houston Sur
28 Jun
Hill Country Lobos
4 : 0
Houston Sur
25 Jun
Houston Sur
0 : 2
AHFC Royals
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Hill Country Lobos

(Away)
07 Jul
Lonestar SC
4 : 4
Hill Country Lobos
04 Jul
Houston FC
4 : 3
Hill Country Lobos
30 Jun
Hill Country Lobos
3 : 5
Lonestar SC
28 Jun
Hill Country Lobos
4 : 0
Houston Sur
24 Jun
Hill Country Lobos
0 : 5
Laredo Heat
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