Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS vs Kiffen

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Briotech Arena, Helsinki
HPS Logo

HPS

1 - 2
FT
Kiffen Logo

Kiffen

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sipola J.
53' Event
Nevalainen R.
57'
Sub
Vaisanen O. In: Camara I.
Out: Vaisanen O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between HPS and Kiffen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiffen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
HPS
30%
Draws
43%
Kiffen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiffen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Medium Confidence
  • HPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kiffen's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%
Kiffen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS Kiffen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs Kiffen
1:2
Sep 4, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Kiffen vs HPS
2:3
Jul 25, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
HPS vs Kiffen
1:0
May 23, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Kiffen vs HPS
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Niskanen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kiffen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nevalainen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurvanen V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS 26 / 100
Kiffen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS Kiffen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Kiffen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: HPS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS VS Kiffen
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS

(Home)
01 Aug
HPS
5 : 5
HIFK
25 Jul
Atlantis
5 : 3
HPS
18 Jul
HPS
5 : 2
MyPa
11 Jul
PEPO
2 : 0
HPS
04 Jul
HPS
3 : 2
Lahden Reipas
Page 1 of 6

Kiffen

(Away)
01 Aug
MyPa
0 : 0
Kiffen
25 Jul
Kiffen
1 : 1
HIFK
18 Jul
Kiffen
2 : 0
PEPO
10 Jul
Atlantis
3 : 5
Kiffen
02 Jul
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
1 : 2
Kiffen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 15 9 3 3 32:22 30
2 PEPO 15 8 4 3 25:20 28
3 HIFK 15 7 5 3 33:21 26
4 HPS 15 7 3 5 36:31 24
5 Atlantis 15 7 2 6 47:36 23
6 Lahden Reipas 15 7 2 6 32:28 23
7 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 15 4 7 4 26:22 19
8 PuiU Helsinki 15 4 3 8 22:31 15
9 MyPa 15 3 3 9 16:32 12
10 Union Plaani 15 2 2 11 15:41 8
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)