Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS vs Union Plaani

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Briotech Arena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Utriainen J. In: Ahlfors N.
Out: Utriainen J.
26'
Kilic B.
26' Event
Kuokkanen N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between HPS and Union Plaani finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Plaani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
HPS
20%
Draws
65%
Union Plaani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Plaani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • HPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Plaani a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%
Union Plaani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS Union Plaani
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs Union Plaani
0:3
Jun 6, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani vs HPS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Union Plaani Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS 10 / 100
Union Plaani 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS Union Plaani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Plaani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Union Plaani conceded in 79% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

HPS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS VS Union Plaani
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS

(Home)
03 Sept
HIFK
1 : 1
HPS
30 Aug
Kiffen
2 : 1
HPS
22 Aug
Kiffen
5 : 1
HPS
15 Aug
HPS
0 : 3
Union Plaani
07 Aug
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
2 : 2
HPS
Page 1 of 6

Union Plaani

(Away)
22 Aug
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
15 Aug
HPS
0 : 3
Union Plaani
07 Aug
Kiffen
1 : 0
Union Plaani
31 Jul
Union Plaani
0 : 2
PEPO
24 Jul
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
0 : 1
Union Plaani
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 18 12 3 3 41:24 39
2 PEPO 18 11 4 3 36:23 37
3 Atlantis 18 10 2 6 62:44 32
4 HIFK 18 7 6 5 39:33 27
5 HPS 18 7 4 7 39:41 25
6 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 18 5 8 5 33:31 23
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 35:35 23
8 PuiU Helsinki 18 4 4 10 26:38 16
9 MyPa 18 4 3 11 20:39 15
10 Union Plaani 18 4 2 12 19:42 14
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)