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HPS W vs Gnistan W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
HPS W Logo

HPS W

4 - 0
FT
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Paakkari E.
44'
Raisanen L.
46'
Sub
Welling E. In: Nurminen M.
Out: Welling E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HPS W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored HPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
HPS W
15%
Draws
26%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • HPS W have won more games recently than Gnistan W.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on HPS W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • HPS W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
HPS W Clean Sheet 17%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W Gnistan W
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.33 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:3
Jun 13, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Gnistan W
4:0
Apr 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paakkari E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahre O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gnistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 75 / 100
Gnistan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Gnistan W let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: HPS W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS Gnistan W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
16 Aug
Aland United W
2 : 1
HPS W
Page 1 of 7

Gnistan W

(Away)
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Aug
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HJK W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)