Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS W vs HJK W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Sun, Sep 6, 2026
1 - 3
12:00 PM
HJK W Logo

HJK W

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Sarelius K.
39' Event
Perttula T.
105' Event
Kiviranta M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
HPS W
20%
Draws
47%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on HJK W taking it.
  • HJK W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor HJK W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%
HJK W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W HJK W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 23
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.9 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:3
Aug 21, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
3:3
Jul 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs HPS W
4:0
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Perttula T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarelius K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ylatalo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 26 / 100
HJK W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W HJK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

HJK W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: HPS W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS HJK W
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
16 Aug
Aland United W
2 : 1
HPS W
08 Aug
HPS W
3 : 2
KuPS W
Page 1 of 6

HJK W

(Away)
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
12 Aug
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HJK W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W 4
Tampere Utd W 0
Ilves W -
TBD -
Gnistan W 1
HIFK W 0
KuPS W -
TBD -
VPS W 3
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
NuPS W 0
PK-35 Vantaa W 8
HJK U18 W 4
Kiffen W 0
TBD -
HJK W -
EPS W 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W 2
Lahti W 1
EBK W 2
Loviisa W 1
Keski-Uusimaa W 0
KTP W 0
Honka W 1
Apassit W 1
TPV W 2
TBD -
HPS W -
Athene FC W 3
Hertta W 2
WFA W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 1
1/8-finals
Aland United W 2
Ilves W 1
Gnistan W 0
KuPS W 2
VPS W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
HJK U18 W 1
HJK W 6
EPS W 1
EBK W 4
Loviisa W 0
Honka W 8
TPV W 0
HPS W 4
Athene FC W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W 1
KuPS W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 1
HJK W 4
EBK W 4
Honka W 1
HPS W 5
SJK-j Apollo W 1
Semi-finals
KuPS W 0
HJK W 1
EBK W 0
HPS W 4
Final
HJK W 3
HPS W 1