Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS W vs HJK W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HPS W host HJK W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. HPS W have averaged 2.75 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against HJK W's 3 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, HPS W have won 0 to HJK W's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.75) back HJK W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
HPS W
28%
Draws
50%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • HJK W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives HJK W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HJK W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
HPS W Clean Sheet 12%
HJK W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W HJK W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 25
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 2.75 3
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs HPS W
4:0
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs HPS W
5:2
Jul 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs HPS W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 22 / 100
HJK W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W HJK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

HPS W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

HJK W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS HJK W
2.75 Goals Scored 3
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
12 Jul
HPS W
1 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
08 Jul
EBK W
0 : 4
HPS W
04 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 1
HPS W
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HJK W

(Away)
25 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 2
HJK W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
12 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
HJK W
08 Jul
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
04 Jul
HJK W
2 : 0
KuPS W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)