Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HPS W host Ilves W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. HPS W have averaged 2.25 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Ilves W's 1.88 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor HPS W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back HPS W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
HPS W
11%
Draws
9%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HPS W come out ahead of Ilves W on wins alone.
  • Model gives HPS W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
HPS W Clean Sheet 18%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W Ilves W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
0:2
Aug 26, 2023 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 76 / 100
Ilves W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Ilves W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

HPS W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS Ilves W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
12 Jul
HPS W
1 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
08 Jul
EBK W
0 : 4
HPS W
04 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 1
HPS W
Page 1 of 7

Ilves W

(Away)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
18 Jul
Ilves W
2 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
04 Jul
Ilves W
0 : 2
Aland United W
27 Jun
Ilves W
1 : 3
HJK W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)