Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS W vs PK-35 Vantaa W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Salo S.
43' Event
Puolakka L.
Assist: Paakkari E.
53' Event
Rinkinen H.
Assist: Forsten A.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between HPS W and PK-35 Vantaa W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
HPS W
20%
Draws
40%
PK-35 Vantaa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HPS W come out ahead of PK-35 Vantaa W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans PK-35 Vantaa W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HPS W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
HPS W Clean Sheet 20%
PK-35 Vantaa W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W PK-35 Vantaa W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs HPS W
0:1
May 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs HPS W
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
5:1
Jul 26, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Puolakka L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rinkinen H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PK-35 Vantaa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 28 / 100
PK-35 Vantaa W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W PK-35 Vantaa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PK-35 Vantaa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HPS W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: PK-35 Vantaa W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: HPS W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS PK-35 Vantaa W
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
16 Aug
Aland United W
2 : 1
HPS W
08 Aug
HPS W
3 : 2
KuPS W
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PK-35 Vantaa W

(Away)
29 Aug
EBK W
2 : 2
PK-35 Vantaa W
23 Aug
Honka W
2 : 1
PK-35 Vantaa W
14 Aug
PK-35 Vantaa W
3 : 1
HJS W
09 Aug
JyPK W
1 : 6
PK-35 Vantaa W
25 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 2
HJK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)