Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HSC '21 vs Genemuiden

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Etten R.
51' Event
van Benthem R.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between HSC '21 and Genemuiden finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genemuiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
HSC '21
30%
Draws
56%
Genemuiden
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • HSC '21 haven't matched Genemuiden's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Genemuiden a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
HSC '21 Clean Sheet 10%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HSC '21 Genemuiden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.97
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Genemuiden
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs HSC '21
3:2
May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs HSC '21
1:4
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Genemuiden
0:4
May 11, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Genemuiden
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HSC '21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Genemuiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Etten R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Benthem R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HSC '21 10 / 100
Genemuiden 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HSC '21 Genemuiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genemuiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Genemuiden let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

HSC '21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

HSC '21 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

HSC '21 VS Genemuiden
2 Goals Scored 2.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HSC '21

(Home)
23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4
HSC '21
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1
Urk
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0
HSC '21
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4
TEC
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
HSC '21
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Genemuiden

(Away)
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0
SVZW Wierden
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)