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HSC '21 vs Urk Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
HSC '21 Logo

HSC '21

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Urk Logo

Urk

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between HSC '21 and Urk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
HSC '21
35%
Draws
45%
Urk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Urk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • HSC '21 haven't matched Urk's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Urk taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
HSC '21 Clean Sheet 10%
Urk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HSC '21 Urk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.8
Goals Conceded 3.2 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Urk
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs HSC '21
5:4
Jan 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs HSC '21
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Urk
1:3
May 18, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs Urk
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HSC '21 10 / 100
Urk 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HSC '21 Urk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urk let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

HSC '21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: HSC '21 scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

HSC '21 VS Urk
1 Goals Scored 2.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

HSC '21

(Home)
23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4
HSC '21
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1
Urk
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0
HSC '21
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4
TEC
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
HSC '21
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Urk

(Away)
23 May
Urk
1 : 2
Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1
Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3
Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0
Urk
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)