Sport Picks

HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands

KNVB Beker Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

Sparta Nijkerk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the KNVB Beker. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: HSV Hoek at 1.62 goals for, 1.45 against; Sparta Nijkerk at 2.36 for, 1.61 against. Past meetings favor HSV Hoek slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2023, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.19, favoring Sparta Nijkerk. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

HSV Hoek

20%

Draws

56%

Sparta Nijkerk

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Sparta Nijkerk carry the better recent record into this one.
Sparta Nijkerk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Sparta Nijkerk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor HSV Hoek, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 10%

Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HSV Hoek	Sparta Nijkerk
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	11	13
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.62	2.36
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.61
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Derde Divisie

Sparta Nijkerk vs HSV Hoek

2:0

Sep 17, 2022 Derde Divisie

HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk

2:1

Mar 22, 2022 Derde Divisie

HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk

0:0

Oct 16, 2021 Derde Divisie

Sparta Nijkerk vs HSV Hoek

1:2

Apr 3, 2021 Derde Divisie

Sparta Nijkerk vs HSV Hoek

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HSV Hoek 10 / 100

Sparta Nijkerk 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HSV Hoek Sparta Nijkerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HSV Hoek scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Sparta Nijkerk let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

HSV Hoek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HSV Hoek VS Sparta Nijkerk

1.38 Goals Scored 2.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

HSV Hoek

(Home)

03 Oct

HSV Hoek

3 : 1

De Treffers

26 Sept

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

3 : 0

HSV Hoek

19 Sept

HSV Hoek

2 : 2

Jong Almere City

12 Sept

Barendrecht

1 : 1

HSV Hoek

05 Sept

RKAV Volendam

2 : 1

HSV Hoek

Page 1 of 6

Sparta Nijkerk

(Away)

03 Oct

SVZW Wierden

0 : 2

Sparta Nijkerk

26 Sept

Sparta Nijkerk

3 : 2

Staphorst

23 Sept

Sparta Nijkerk

3 : 1

RKSV UDI 19

19 Sept

Eemdijk

0 : 4

Sparta Nijkerk

12 Sept

Sparta Nijkerk

1 : 2

USV Hercules

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

ACV Assen 6

Westlandia 1

VV Hoogeveen 3

SVZW Wierden 2

Groene Ster 2

VV Heerjansdam 1

Be Quick 1887 0

AFC 2

Hardenberg -

TBD -

Barendrecht -

TBD -

Harkemase Boys 0

Excelsior 31 1

Alkmaarse FC 1934 4

VV Scherpenzeel 1

TBD -

Sportlust 3

Blauw Geel 1

ADO 20 Heemskerk 1

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

ATC 65 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

GOES 0

VV Noordwijk 1

HZVV Hoogeveen 0

Frisia 4

TBD -

Sparta Nijkerk 2

Venray 0

Rkvv Spartaan 20 0

RKSV UDI 19 5

Dongen 2

Watergraafsmeer 4

TEC 4

Almkerk 2

TBD -

NAC Breda -

Longa '30 0

Koninklijke HFC 4

Surhusterfean 1

VV DOVO 2

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Mierlo-Hout 2

Germania Groesbeek 3

TBD -

Kozakken Boys -

TBD -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Elinkwijk 0

Eemdijk 3

GSV 28 0

Roosendaal 4

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Spakenburg -

TOGB 3

Katwijk 2

TBD -

Rohda Raalte -

Roda -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Staphorst 3

UNA 2

Genemuiden 2

Lisse 1

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Sittard -

Telstar -

TBD -

Almere City -

Lierop 0

VV Zwaluwen 7

Purmersteijn 4

RKVV Zwaluw 3

IJsselmeervogels -

TBD -

FC 's-Gravenzande 0

Gemert 2

NSVV 2

VV Kloetinge 4

Achilles Veen 4

SV Poortugaal 2

TBD -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Rijnvogels 5

VV Bennekom 0

VVSB 2

Ajax (Am) 0

USV Hercules 1

EVV 3

HVV Hollandia 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

TBD -

1/64-finals

ACV Assen 2

VV Hoogeveen 1

Groene Ster 1

AFC 6

Hardenberg 0

Barendrecht 1

TBD -

Excelsior 31 4

Alkmaarse FC 1934 3

TBD -

Sportlust 0

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

GVVV 4

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

VV Noordwijk 1

Frisia 0

TBD -

Sparta Nijkerk 3

RKSV UDI 19 1

Watergraafsmeer 5

TEC 4

TBD -

NAC Breda -

Koninklijke HFC 3

VV DOVO 1

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Germania Groesbeek 1

Kozakken Boys 5

TBD -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Eemdijk 2

Roosendaal 1

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam 3

Spakenburg 2

TOGB 4

Rohda Raalte 6

Roda -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Staphorst 2

Genemuiden 3

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Sittard -

Telstar -

TBD -

Almere City -

VV Zwaluwen 0

Purmersteijn 1

IJsselmeervogels 0

Gemert 3

VV Kloetinge 8

Achilles Veen 0

TBD -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Rijnvogels 0

VVSB 1

EVV 3

RKSV Halsteren 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

ACV Assen -

AFC -

Barendrecht -

Waalwijk -

De Treffers -

Heracles -

Excelsior 31 -

Den Haag -

Excelsior Maassluis -

Heerenveen -

Eindhoven FC -

FC Volendam -

Groningen -

FC Emmen -

GVVV -

VV Noordwijk -

Helmond Sport -

Willem II -

HSV Hoek -

Sparta Nijkerk -

Watergraafsmeer -

NAC Breda -

Koninklijke HFC -

G.A. Eagles -

Kozakken Boys -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

Eemdijk -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam -

Rohda Raalte -

Roda -

De Graafschap -

Genemuiden -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

Sittard -

Telstar -

Almere City -

Purmersteijn -

Gemert -

VV Kloetinge -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

Vitesse -

VVSB -

EVV -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands

HSV Hoek

Sparta Nijkerk

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

HSV Hoek

Sparta Nijkerk

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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