Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Torreperogil

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Huetor Vega play CD Torreperogil in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. It looks like a close match. Recently, Huetor Vega averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. CD Torreperogil averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Huetor Vega won 3, CD Torreperogil won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Huetor Vega and 1.38 for CD Torreperogil. This points to a Huetor Vega double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Huetor Vega

16%

Draws

36%

CD Torreperogil

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Huetor Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Huetor Vega picked up more points recently compared to CD Torreperogil.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 17%

CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Huetor Vega	CD Torreperogil
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	9	5
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.28	0.77
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Huetor Vega vs CD Torreperogil

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Torreperogil vs Huetor Vega

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Huetor Vega vs CD Torreperogil

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

0:2

Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Torreperogil vs Huetor Vega

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Huetor Vega vs CD Torreperogil

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Vega Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Torreperogil Compare

Top Goalscorer Lara L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fernandez O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Vega 47 / 100

CD Torreperogil 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Huetor Vega CD Torreperogil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Huetor Vega or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Huetor Vega attacking → ← attacking CD Torreperogil

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Vega scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

CD Torreperogil let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Huetor Vega went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Torreperogil lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 32

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	19	9	6	46:24	66
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55:29	65
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	37:26	55
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38:29	54
5	Churriana de la Vega	34	14	10	10	32:40	52
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36:28	51
7	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	13	11	10	39:38	50
8	UD San Pedro	34	13	10	11	39:37	49
9	Atletico de Porcuna	34	14	4	16	41:39	46
10	Huetor Vega	34	12	9	13	43:42	45
11	Granada CF B	34	10	14	10	49:47	44
12	CD Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41:41	43
13	Melilla B	34	9	12	13	30:32	39
14	Mancha	34	9	10	15	30:38	37
15	Huetor Tajar	34	9	10	15	40:44	37
16	Martos	34	9	10	15	32:48	37
17	CD Torreperogil	34	9	6	19	24:45	33
18	El Palo	34	6	9	19	28:53	27