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Huila W vs Penarol W Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2019 Estadio Guillermo Plazas Alcid, Neiva
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Rolfo J.
38' Event
Pena J.
40' Event
Chacon I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Huila W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Huila W
20%
Draws
0%
Penarol W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Huila W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Huila W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Huila W taking it.
  • Huila W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Huila W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Huila W Clean Sheet 68%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huila W Penarol W
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 11 1
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.22 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2019 Copa Libertadores Women
Huila W vs Penarol W
2:1
Nov 20, 2018 Copa Libertadores Women
Huila W vs Penarol W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huila W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chacon I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Penarol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rolfo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huila W 95 / 100
Penarol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huila W Penarol W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huila W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol W has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.

Penarol W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Huila W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Huila W VS Penarol W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Huila W

(Home)
23 May
Huila W
0 : 2
Deportivo Pereira W
19 May
Atl. Nacional W
0 : 0
Huila W
13 May
Huila W
1 : 0
Junior W
07 May
Dep. Cali W
0 : 0
Huila W
30 Apr
Huila W
0 : 1
Millonarios W
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Penarol W

(Away)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Penarol W
19 Oct
Penarol W
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0
Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0
Penarol W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huila W 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Cerro Porteno W 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Penarol W 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Colo Colo W 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cuenca W 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Ferroviaria W 3 2 0 1 15:4 6
3 Estudiantes de Caracas W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Mundo Futuro W 3 0 0 3 2:17 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 America de Cali W 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Libertad Limpeno W 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Nanas W 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UAI Urquiza W 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 S. Morning W 3 1 2 0 8:3 5
3 Ind. Medellin W 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Municipalidad De Majes W 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)