Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hulbuk vs Khujand

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Mawutor D.
31' Event
Turakhonov K.
68'
Mawutor D.

AI Match Summary

Khujand in this Vysshaya Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khujand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Hulbuk
35%
Draws
55%
Khujand
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khujand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Hulbuk haven't matched Khujand's recent run of results.
  • Khujand are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Hulbuk Clean Sheet 10%
Khujand Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hulbuk Khujand
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.71 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Hulbuk
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Hulbuk vs Khujand
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hulbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Turakhonov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Khujand Compare

Top Goalscorer Mawutor D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Komolafe P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hulbuk 10 / 100
Khujand 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hulbuk Khujand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khujand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Hulbuk scored in 54% of their last 24 outings.

Defensive concern: Khujand conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hulbuk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hulbuk VS Khujand
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hulbuk

(Home)
10 Dec
Sardor Tursunzoda
2 : 0
Hulbuk
07 Dec
Hulbuk
2 : 2
Sardor Tursunzoda
04 Dec
Hulbuk
1 : 5
Istiqlol Dushanbe
10 Nov
Hulbuk
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
02 Nov
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Hulbuk
Page 1 of 5

Khujand

(Away)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1
Khujand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)