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Hull City vs Manchester United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League MKM Stadium, Hull
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ajayi S.
34'
Dorgu P.
38' Event
Mendy N.
Assist: Slater R.

AI Match Summary

Hull City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hull City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hull City
35%
Draws
26%
Manchester United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hull City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manchester United lately — more wins on the board than Hull City.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hull City Clean Sheet 16%
Manchester United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hull City Manchester United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
Hull City vs Manchester United
2:0
Feb 1, 2017 Premier League
Manchester United vs Hull City
0:0
Jan 26, 2017 EFL Cup
Hull City vs Manchester United
2:1
Jan 10, 2017 EFL Cup
Manchester United vs Hull City
2:0
Aug 27, 2016 Premier League
Hull City vs Manchester United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hull City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajayi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Manchester United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hull City 30 / 100
Manchester United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hull City Manchester United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hull City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hull City's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Manchester United conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Hull City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hull City VS Manchester United
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hull City

(Home)
11 Oct
Hull City
2 : 2
Everton
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2
Hull City
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Hull City
0 : 0
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6

Manchester United

(Away)
13 Oct
Atl. Madrid
2 : 0
Manchester United
10 Oct
Manchester United
1 : 1
Tottenham
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1
Manchester United
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3
Brighton
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1
Manchester City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 16:5 18
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18:5 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12:6 10
5 Everton 6 2 4 0 8:5 10
6 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15:13 10
7 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Hull City 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
9 Liverpool 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
10 Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9:12 9
11 Newcastle Utd 6 2 2 2 10:13 8
12 Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Manchester United 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
14 Coventry 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
15 Nottingham 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
18 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7:13 3
19 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)