Sport Picks
Hull City vs Aston Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League MKM Stadium, Hull 
Match Events
39'
39'
Ajayi S.
63'
63'
Sub
Stroud E. In: Thomas S.
Out: Stroud E.
64'
64'
Sub
Coyle L. In: Norton-Cuffy B.
Out: Coyle L.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Hull City and Aston Villa finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aston Villa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aston Villa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Aston Villa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hull City Clean Sheet 20%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hull City | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Hull City vs Aston Villa
0:0
Jan 19, 2019 Championship
Aston Villa vs Hull City
2:2
Aug 6, 2018 Championship
Hull City vs Aston Villa
1:3
Mar 31, 2018 Championship
Hull City vs Aston Villa
0:0
Aug 5, 2017 Championship
Aston Villa vs Hull City
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hull City 20 / 100
Aston Villa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hull City Aston Villa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aston Villa has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Hull City scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Hull City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hull City VS Aston Villa
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hull City
(Home) 19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 Hull City
05 Sept
Hull City
0 : 0 Aston Villa
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1 Hull City
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Hull City
0 : 0 Aston Villa
22 Aug
Hull City
2 : 0 Manchester United
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0 Nice
23 May
Hull City
1 : 0 Middlesbrough
08 May
Hull City
0 : 0 Millwall
Page 1 of 2
Aston Villa
(Away) 02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3 Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3 Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3 Aston Villa
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2 Nottingham
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3 Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3 Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3 Aston Villa
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3 Aston Villa
05 Sept
Hull City
0 : 0 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 8 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 10 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 11 | Newcastle Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
