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Humble Lions vs Waterhouse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Brown R.
36' Event
Murray C.
65' Event
Javane B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Humble Lions and Waterhouse finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Humble Lions
20%
Draws
73%
Waterhouse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waterhouse come out ahead of Humble Lions on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Waterhouse's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Waterhouse have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Humble Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Humble Lions Waterhouse
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Waterhouse
0:5
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Humble Lions
1:0
Feb 20, 2025 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Waterhouse
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Humble Lions
2:0
Feb 25, 2024 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Waterhouse
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Humble Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murray C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Humble Lions 10 / 100
Waterhouse 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Humble Lions Waterhouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterhouse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Humble Lions scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Waterhouse has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Humble Lions stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Humble Lions VS Waterhouse
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Humble Lions

(Home)
04 Oct
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Humble Lions
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
04 May
Humble Lions
0 : 4
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 6

Waterhouse

(Away)
05 Oct
Chapelton
0 : 6
Waterhouse
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0
Treasure Beach
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waterhouse 4 3 1 0 14:1 10
2 Montego Bay 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
7 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
9 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 3:10 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
14 FC Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)