Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Victoria John Ilhan Memorial Reserve (Nasiol)

Hume City

1 - 1

South Melbourne

Our Tip

Match Events

66'

Cocks A.

73'

Spink B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Hume City

33%

Draws

40%

South Melbourne

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: South Melbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

South Melbourne have won more games recently than Hume City.
Model gives South Melbourne a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Hume City Clean Sheet 16%

South Melbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hume City	South Melbourne
Matches Played	29	36
Wins	14	19
Draws	5	3
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	2	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Victoria

Hume City vs South Melbourne

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Feb 19, 2026 NPL Victoria

South Melbourne vs Hume City

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Jun 27, 2025 NPL Victoria

South Melbourne vs Hume City

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Mar 21, 2025 NPL Victoria

Hume City vs South Melbourne

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sep 11, 2024 Australia Cup

Hume City vs South Melbourne

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hume City Compare

Top Goalscorer Spink B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

South Melbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Cocks A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hume City 28 / 100

South Melbourne 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hume City South Melbourne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hume City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

South Melbourne has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Hume City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hume City VS South Melbourne

2 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	21	14	5	2	44:18	47
2	Hume City	21	12	4	5	40:25	40
3	Avondale FC	21	11	2	8	54:28	35
4	Preston Lions	20	12	3	5	30:16	33
5	Heidelberg Utd	21	9	6	6	33:26	33
6	South Melbourne	21	10	2	9	31:32	32
7	Melbourne City U21	20	8	6	6	37:23	30
8	George Cross	21	7	9	5	28:28	30
9	St Albans	21	6	6	9	24:37	24
10	Altona Magic	21	6	5	10	24:36	23
11	Dandenong City SC	21	7	5	9	27:29	22
12	Bentleigh Greens	21	5	4	12	20:45	19
13	Dandenong Thunder	21	4	3	14	23:46	15
14	Green Gully	21	3	4	14	17:43	13