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Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria John Ilhan Memorial Reserve (Nasiol)
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Bayew A.
79'
White B.

AI Match Summary

Hume City host Bentleigh Greens in the NPL Victoria. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bentleigh Greens have shipped 3.38 goals a game lately, while Hume City have conceded 1.13 and scored 3. Past meetings favor Hume City slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 3.19 vs 0.81, favoring Hume City. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hume City
6%
Draws
4%
Bentleigh Greens
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hume City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hume City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bentleigh Greens.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Hume City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Victoria provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Hume City Clean Sheet 68%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hume City Bentleigh Greens
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 3 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City
1:5
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Victoria
Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City
0:2
Apr 22, 2023 NPL Victoria
Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens
2:3
Jun 24, 2022 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hume City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayew A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hume City 95 / 100
Bentleigh Greens 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hume City Bentleigh Greens

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hume City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Bentleigh Greens let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hume City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bentleigh Greens lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hume City VS Bentleigh Greens
3 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons20135243:1844
2Hume City20124440:2440
3Avondale FC20111853:2734
4Preston Lions19122530:1632
5Heidelberg Utd2095633:2632
6South Melbourne20101931:3231
7Melbourne City U211986537:2230
8George Cross2069527:2827
9St Albans2065923:3623
10Dandenong City SC2075826:2722
11Altona Magic20641024:3622
12Bentleigh Greens20441218:4416
13Dandenong Thunder20431322:4315
14Green Gully20241414:4210