Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Humpolec vs Chotebor

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Humpolec host Chotebor in the 4. liga - Group D. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Humpolec have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Chotebor's 1.24 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Humpolec slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.31) point toward Chotebor. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Humpolec
30%
Draws
58%
Chotebor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chotebor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Humpolec haven't matched Chotebor's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Humpolec Clean Sheet 18%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Humpolec Chotebor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Humpolec
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Chotebor
3:0
May 13, 2018 Vysocina KP
Humpolec vs Chotebor
1:1
Sep 24, 2017 Vysocina KP
Chotebor vs Humpolec
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Humpolec 36 / 100
Chotebor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Humpolec Chotebor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chotebor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chotebor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Humpolec's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Humpolec has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Humpolec VS Chotebor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Humpolec

(Home)
13 Sept
Humpolec
1 : 2
FS Trebic
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
30 Aug
Humpolec
0 : 2
Bystrc
22 Aug
FC Kurim
1 : 0
Humpolec
16 Aug
Humpolec
2 : 2
Bedrichov
Page 1 of 6

Chotebor

(Away)
12 Sept
Chotebor
0 : 0
Velka Bites
06 Sept
Zdar nad Sazavou
0 : 2
Chotebor
28 Aug
Chotebor
0 : 2
FS Trebic
22 Aug
Sparta Brno
2 : 0
Chotebor
16 Aug
Chotebor
2 : 2
Bystrc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bohunice 6 4 2 0 17:5 14
2 Znojmo 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Velka Bites 6 3 2 1 6:6 11
4 FC Kurim 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
5 Tasovice 6 2 4 0 10:5 10
6 Slovan Havlickuv Brod 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 FS Trebic 6 3 0 3 7:14 9
8 Pelhrimov 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
9 Zdar nad Sazavou 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
10 Bystrc 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
11 Sparta Brno 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Velke Mezirici 6 1 3 2 8:14 6
13 Zdirec nad Doubravou 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
14 Chotebor 6 1 2 3 5:14 5
15 Humpolec 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
16 Bedrichov 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)