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Hunan Billows vs Kunming City Star

China China

Yi League 2024 Loudi Sports Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hunan Billows play Kunming City Star in the Yi League 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hunan Billows averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Kunming City Star averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Hunan Billows won 2, Kunming City Star won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 13, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Hunan Billows and 0.80 for Kunming City Star. This points to a Hunan Billows double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hunan Billows
35%
Draws
21%
Kunming City Star
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hunan Billows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Hunan Billows picked up more points recently compared to Kunming City Star.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Hunan Billows Clean Sheet 26%
Kunming City Star Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hunan Billows Kunming City Star
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 League Two
Hunan Billows vs Kunming City Star
2:2
May 4, 2024 League Two
Kunming City Star vs Hunan Billows
0:1
Jul 30, 2023 League Two
Kunming City Star vs Hunan Billows
0:0
Jun 10, 2023 League Two
Hunan Billows vs Kunming City Star
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hunan Billows Compare

Top Goalscorer Hu Yongfa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jiang Zhe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kunming City Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Tang Wenxuan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cui Hong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hunan Billows 45 / 100
Kunming City Star 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hunan Billows Kunming City Star

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hunan Billows or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hunan Billows attacking → ← attacking Kunming City Star

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hunan Billows scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kunming City Star let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Hunan Billows went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kunming City Star lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shaanxi Union18113436:1736
2Nantong Haimen18105327:1835
3Dalian Kun City1894525:1531
4Hangzhou Linping1893624:1730
5Shandong Taishan B1885520:1429
6Beijing Technology1857619:2022
7Hubei Istar18621019:2120
8Taian Tiankuang1847712:2319
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1845915:2317
10Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1815129:388
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guangdong GZ-Power18160240:1048
2Shenzhen Juniors1896333:1933
3Guangxi Hengchen1887323:1531
4Hunan Billows1886425:2130
5Shanghai Port B1885527:2029
6Wenzhou Professional1856716:1621
7Ganzhou Ruishi18531022:2618
8Guangxi Lanhang1837816:2216
9Quanzhou Yassin18341115:4513
10Kunming City Star18061216:396